Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.121893 0.144337 0.169430 0.199517 0.234565 0.274055 0.321876
2025-01-19 0.084133 0.112115 0.146927 0.193220 0.252949 0.327179 0.426160
2025-01-26 0.066040 0.096598 0.137931 0.197482 0.280562 0.391747 0.551088
2025-02-02 0.053676 0.084926 0.130260 0.200069 0.303918 0.451533 0.675764
2025-02-09 0.044384 0.075269 0.122915 0.200663 0.322926 0.505941 0.798085
2025-02-16 0.037888 0.068393 0.118119 0.203558 0.344667 0.565700 0.934138
2025-02-23 0.033702 0.064378 0.116932 0.211501 0.374665 0.640718 1.101440
2025-03-02 0.028088 0.056740 0.108284 0.205328 0.380026 0.676170 1.208174
2025-03-09 0.024442 0.051993 0.103839 0.205577 0.395943 0.730202 1.350882
2025-03-16 0.021034 0.047048 0.098175 0.202584 0.405314 0.773415 1.478740
2025-03-23 0.019045 0.044605 0.096876 0.207554 0.429765 0.845593 1.665124
2025-03-30 0.016728 0.041025 0.092723 0.206193 0.441674 0.895616 1.815328
2025-04-06 0.014370 0.036969 0.087062 0.201154 0.446085 0.932759 1.946869
2025-04-13 0.012268 0.033104 0.081209 0.194864 0.447135 0.963515 2.069478
2025-04-20 0.011198 0.031543 0.080257 0.199172 0.471056 1.042394 2.296040
2025-04-27 0.010151 0.029831 0.078675 0.201782 0.491507 1.116082 2.519067
2025-05-04 0.009120 0.027955 0.076391 0.202382 0.507434 1.181697 2.731367
2025-05-11 0.008332 0.026587 0.075147 0.205300 0.529000 1.261526 2.981694
2025-05-18 0.007859 0.026032 0.075905 0.213307 0.563543 1.373343 3.312588
2025-05-25 0.006838 0.023631 0.071380 0.207085 0.562702 1.405030 3.466886
2025-06-01 0.006192 0.022250 0.069417 0.207335 0.577979 1.475341 3.715956
2025-06-08 0.005507 0.020599 0.066417 0.204319 0.584498 1.525520 3.922578
2025-06-15 0.005153 0.019971 0.066297 0.209328 0.612602 1.630332 4.268528